AI won’t “slowly” swallow white-collar work. It will do so all at once, once it crosses a certain critical threshold.
Not just because of raw reasoning ability, but because *once a model’s probability distribution can be made to converge reliably—so that it can repeat specific operations with consistency*—it will suddenly be able to take over a huge portion of routine white-collar tasks.
We don’t know exactly when that threshold will be reached.
But compared to GPT-4, which often produced silly hallucinations, GPT-5.1 already feels strikingly stable.
If model reliability continues to improve at this pace, it’s hard not to feel that the day AI “swallows” those tasks might not be far off.
AI won’t “slowly” swallow white-collar work. It will do so all at once, once it crosses a certain critical threshold. Not just because of raw reasoning ability, but because *once a model’s probability distribution can be made to converge reliably—so that it can repeat specific operations with consistency*—it will suddenly be able to take over a huge portion of routine white-collar tasks.
We don’t know exactly when that threshold will be reached. But compared to GPT-4, which often produced silly hallucinations, GPT-5.1 already feels strikingly stable.
If model reliability continues to improve at this pace, it’s hard not to feel that the day AI “swallows” those tasks might not be far off.
Was this written by GPT-4 or GPT-5.1?
>AI is whatever machines can’t do yet. Once it works, it’s just software.
I honestly think once the hype settles, AI will just become a tool, an enabler just like electricity enables almost anything we do today.
Stick to your full url: https://philippdubach.com/2025/11/23/is-ai-really-eating-the...
thanks for the hint :) will do going forward I was just trying out some things with my self url shortener (see here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46099563)